THE hottest suburbs in Brisbane have been revealed amid signs of “uplift” for the city’s housing market, according to a leading national property analyst.
THE hottest growth suburbs in Brisbane have been revealed amid signs of “uplift” for the city’s housing market, according to a leading national property analyst.
Terry Ryder of Hotspotting has released his latest Price Predictor Index, which tracks rising sales in suburbs across the country and identifies the places likely to deliver strong price growth in the near future.
The index found 33 suburbs in Brisbane were “rising steadily”, with the strongest market being the affordable Moreton Bay region.
“The Brisbane market is showing signs of uplift, with more growth suburbs emerging in the latest survey,” Mr Ryder said.
In fact, Moreton Bay is the second strongest growth market in the country — eclipsed only by Port Adelaide — with 10 suburbs classified as “rising steadily”.
These include Clontarf and Woody Point, which have seen increases in sales activity.
Mr Ryder said the suburbs’ drawcards included affordable prices, new rail links, a soon to completed new university campus and a bayside lifestyle.
The second highest ranked market after Moreton Bay is Brisbane south, which has eight rising markets — many surprise contenders as they have beaten bluechips to take out the top spots where prices are expected to outperform.
Those suburbs are Mt Gravatt East, Corinda, Forest Lake, Mansfield, Oxley, Parkinson and Sunnybank Hills.
Most of these fit into Brisbane’s “middle market”, with median house prices in the range from $650,000 to $800,000.
The number of growth suburbs in Brisbane’s north have risen from four to seven in the latest survey, with rising demand occurring in Alderley, Bald Hills, Brighton, Geebung, Gordon Park, Newmarket and Stafford Heights.
Across the state, Clinton in the Gladstone region is the top growth suburb in Queensland, while Emerald in central Queensland, Kearneys Spring in Toowoomba, Little Mountain on the Sunshine Coast and Torquay in Hervey Bay also make the list.
Brisbane’s south, Mackay and Moreton Bay are among the national top 10 regions with the highest number of growth suburbs.
But when it comes to consistent sales growth, one Queensland suburb has taken out the top spot in the country — Mountain Creek on the Sunshine Coast.
The suburb, with a median home price of $635,000, has sold between 90 and 110 homes in each quarter over the past four years.
Its median house price has increased 10.5 per cent in just the past 12 months.
“Most property buyers are seeking growth and in the search for rising prices there’s a tendency to undervalue the consistent markets,” Mr Ryder said.
“These places represent safety for buyers because markets like this are likely to maintain
steady price levels — but these markets also deliver good growth.”
BRISBANE’S HOTTEST GROWTH SUBURBS FOR 2019:
Mt Gravatt East
(Source: The Price Predictor Index)
Originally published as Brisbane’s hottest suburbs revealed
One capital city holds steady as others record price falls
Nearly every major capital city showed price falls, according to the latest weekly property market data, with the exception of one which held steady.
Combined, the daily home value index fell by 0.2 of a percentage point in the week ending 19 May, CoreLogic’s Property Market Indicator data showed.
Brisbane was the only capital city not to record a value fall, holding steady.
Meanwhile, Sydney, Melbourne, Adelaide andall recorded declines, with Sydney falling the most at 0.3 of a percentage point, Melbourne declining by 0.2 of a percentage point, and then both Adelaide and Perth falling only by 0.1 of a percentage point.
The monthly index was down by 0.8 of a percentage point. It fell by 9 per cent for the year. Sydney, Melbourne and Perth recorded the highest declines for the year at 11.2 per cent, 10.2 per cent and 8.4 per cent, respectively.
New listing volumes were down, albeit to a lesser degree than the week prior, with nearly every single capital city recording a decline, except for Darwin, which held steady, resulting in a combined capital city loss of 22.4 per cent.
The largest declines were seen in Sydney at 28.7 per cent (making last week 13 weeks of new listing declines in a row), Melbourne at 26.4 per cent, Perth at 19.1 per cent, Brisbane at 18.5 per cent, Hobart at 12.3 per cent, Canberra at 18.1 per cent and Adelaide with the smallest decline again at 2.6 per cent.
Houses were again more popular than units, and the average time for houses on market rose in nearly every capital city, except for Brisbane, where it held steady, and Hobart, where figures declined.
Hobart was the capital city with the fastest time on market for houses at 38 days, followed by Melbourne and Canberra at 45 and 50 days, respectively; while Darwin, Perth and Brisbane had the slowest time on market at 90 days, 77 days and 71 days, respectively.
For units, Hobart was again the fastest at 34 days, while Darwin, Perth and Brisbane were again the slowest at 105, 82 and 71 days, respectively.
Vendor discounting was between 5.5 per cent and 8.2 per cent for houses across most capital cities and between 7 per cent and 10.3 per cent for units.
Canberra was the low-end exception for both houses and units at a respective 4 per cent and 5.3 per cent.
Darwin was again the high-end exception for houses and units at 9 per cent and 13.7 per cent, respectively.
The southeast Queensland suburbs where vendors are discounting their sale prices
The southeast Queensland suburbs where vendors are discounting their sale price by the largest percentages have been revealed.
New data analysis by Domain looked at the average rate of vendor discounting on properties in suburbs throughout Brisbane, the Gold Coast and the Sunshine Coast over the six months to March this year and found some areas were discounting by as much as 12 per cent.
Houses at Carindale, Clontarf, Redcliffe and Rochedale South topped out the list of Greater Brisbane suburbs with the highest percentage of vendors discounting their asking price, while Chermside, New Farm, Redcliffe and South Brisbane had the highest rate of discounting for units.
On the Gold Coast, houses at Broadbeach Waters and Hope Island both recorded double-digit average vendor discounting, while units at Main Beach and Southport had the highest rate of discounting.
Maroochydore and Tewantin headed up the Sunshine Coast houses that were being the discounted by the highest percentage.
Domain economist Trent Wiltshire said the rate of discounting was another market indicator that could help assess conditions in certain suburbs.
The data was compiled using a minimum of 30 observations and did not include properties that sold via auction or without a listed price.
“This can be a bit more timely than price data,” he said. “But it is only an average figure and, while the average or median is the simplest way to look at a suburb, it doesn’t tell the full story.”
Will Torres of Torres Property said overall the housing market in Carindale was performing well but that the average discounting rate was likely brought down by a specific price point.
Carindale’s median house price is $879,750, a rise of 1.1 per cent over the year to March.
“I’d say the market that is being affected at the moment is that mid-$1 million price range,” he said.
“Rewind to six months ago I was selling houses in this price range in three weeks — now I’m struggling to get numbers in the door. That’s where the discounting will be, around that $1.5 million range and that’s why the Carindale percentage is that high.
“Anything under that price point is still performing really well and selling well. Days on market have stretched but the buyers and the demand is overall still there.”
Broadbeach Waters recorded the highest rate of vendor discounting, by up to 12 per cent. Jordan Williams of JW Prestige said that figure had likely been increased by houses in the $2 million to $3 million range, which were sometimes overpriced.
“If you’re 10 per cent over the odds you won’t get a result, you won’t get a deal — that’s why you’re seeing that average discount for Broadbeach Waters,” he said.
“So this figure doesn’t mean the market has dropped here, it means some properties were overpriced. I sold a house for $4.5 million where the owners originally were asking $4.7 million. That’s a massive discount.
“But it started out that high because the owners said they wanted to give it a go, test the waters. There’s a million different scenarios for why people discount their properties.”
At Hope Island, where the average vendor discount is 10.3 per cent, agent Warren Hickey is selling a four-bedroom, two-bathroom contemporary home on Virginia Avenue, which is listed for offers over $995,000 and advertised as a huge price reduction.
However, he said the listing was not representative of the local market.
“On average we’d sell a property a week in Hope Island. I would say if you look back at everything we’ve sold in the past few years, we’ve probably only advertised one as having a price reduction and this is it. It’s the exception,” he said.
On the Sunshine Coast, where Maroochydore recorded an average discount on houses of 7.5 per cent, local Century 21 agent Damien Said said a lot of the properties in higher demand were now auctioned.
“That needs to be noted — those properties are automatically excluded from the data,” he said.
“If anyone in Maroochydore is discounting, I’d say it’s more of a reflection of a few properties that came on the market with unrealistic expectations.
“Generally, we’re finding that when properties do come on the market, as long as the price is realistic, our days on market are reducing. The coast market is still quite active.”
Australia’s new capital for residential market growth
Brisbane has just earned the title of Australia’s top capital for price growth in the luxury residential market for the first time.
The city surpasses Sydney and Melbourne and some of the world’s wealthiest cities to take out the top spot.
The value of Brisbane’s prestige market jumped 3.2 per cent over the past 12 months, earning the city the 14th spot in global rankings according to the latest Knight Frank Prime Global Index report.
The report tracks the performance of luxury residential prices across key global cities using data compiled by a global research network.
Brisbane leapt past Sydney which currently sits in the 18th spot and has only grown by 2.4 per cent. While Melbourne, grew by 1.8 per cent and sits in the 22nd position.
“Brisbane prime properties have been popular with families migrating from Sydney and Melbourne, as well as local downsizers look for properties with low or no maintenance and a high standard of amenities to enjoy,” Knight Frank’s Australian head of residential research Michelle Ciesielski said.
“Given the relative value to other east coast cities, we expect the Brisbane prime market to record a similar annual growth by the year’s end.”
Other cities that scored higher than Brisbane were Tokyo, Paris, Delhi, and Singapore.
Moscow and Berlin were the two cities to rank the highest for residential growth.
The report reflects a growing trend for banks to lend faster and buyers from interstate viewing homes in Brisbane.
The result points to an increased confidence and optimism with regard to buying property in Brisbane.
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