THE lure of affordability, lifestyle and world-class beaches made southeast Queensland’s coastal markets the stars of the property sector in 2017.
While home values grew just 2.4 percent in Brisbane over the past 12 months, they jumped nearly 7 percent on the Gold Coast, while houses climbed in value by more than 7 percent on the Sunshine Coast, according to the latest data from property analytics firm CoreLogic.
Half of the top 10 property sales in Queensland last year were made on the Gold Coast; totalling $48.9 million.
And some agents say the markets are set to strengthen further in 2018 as Sydney and Melbourne homeowners cash out of their million-dollar homes in favour of a more laid-back, affordable lifestyle in the tropical north.
The REIQ’s latest Queensland Market Monitor shows the median house price in the Sunshine Coast statistical division jumped from $557,500 in June to $570,000 in September, while the Gold Coast achieved a new house price record of $606,000.
The Queensland government recently declared the number of interstaters migrating to the state was at its highest level in eight years, with 15,716 people moving here in the year to March 2017 — most coming from New South Wales.
CoreLogic senior research analyst Cameron Kusher said both the Gold Coast and Sunshine Coast property markets had benefited from that boost in interstate migration more than Brisbane.
Ray White Surfers Paradise holds its major auction event of the year later this month to coincide with the January holiday period when many interstate and overseas visitors flock to the Gold Coast.
More than 100 properties will go under the hammer at its annual ‘The Event’ on January 28, with many holiday homes and investment properties set to sell to interstate and local investors.
Ray White Surfers Paradise chief executive Andrew Bell said the region had recorded solid sales figures in 2017 thanks to economic stability, job creation and steady population growth.
Mr Bell said the property market at the northern end of the Gold Coast had strengthened considerably because of new medium and high rise development in areas like Southport and Hope Island.
“That’s where all the new development is and it’s given people a lot more opportunity,” he said.
Mr Bell said suburbs like Coomera and Pimpama were had also become “powerhouses” for house-and-land developments, attracting demand from interstate.
“It’s not just people buying holiday homes,” he said.
“It’s just getting so difficult to live in Sydney with the cost of living and the traffic.
“People are saying ‘it’s time to move!’ and I think they’re seeing the Gold Coast as being the best it’s ever looked.”
And with vacancy rates of less than 1 per cent on the Gold Coast, Mr Bell said an increase in home construction was more than welcome.
“We can have 20 plus people turn up to an open home, so we desperately need more investors to buy some stock to help with this huge demand from tenants,” he said.
Kollosche Prestige Agents managing director Jordan Williams said the Gold Coast property market experienced periods of strength and weakness in 2017, but he predicted a bigger year in 2018.
“I know for a fact that for the last half of last year a lot of buyers were sitting on their hands reading the negative articles that said the market was going to crash,” Mr Williams said. “They’ve bought off me since then and realised its actually going to continue to improve.
“I think it’s going to be an exciting year.”
Mr Williams also said the majority of homes he sold were cash contracts, unlike the pre-GFC days.
“We have very affluent local and interstate buyers who are fourth, fifth and sixth generation wealthy,” he said.
“Our vendors who own these homes are also affluent, successful people and they don’t muck around with finance and building and pest inspections.”
Kristian and Haley Hughes are selling their five-bedroom waterfront home at 31 Pilot Court, Mermaid Waters through Kollosche Prestige Agents.
They’ve lived there for nearly three years, but have decided to sell and rent in the area so they can use the capital to fund Mrs Hughes’ new make-up venture.
Mrs Hughes, who runs The Institute of Makeup beauty school, said Mermaid Waters had benefited from the growth in popularity of nearby Burleigh Heads.
“I feel it’s becoming the new central location — nestled between Burleigh and Broadbeach,” she said.
The Hughes are hopeful they’ll benefit from the growth in the market over the past 12 months, with the median house price in Mermaid Waters increasing by more than 17 per cent.
Their family home is decked out with floor-to-ceiling glass, which captures spectacular 180 degree views.
“For someone who wants to make it their forever home, they’ll never run out of room,” she said.
“It was hard finding a place to put an offer on even then, because (homes) were selling before they even went to market.”
Further north, Noosa was the standout performer in 2017.
REIQ figures show Noosa was the state’s top performing market in the three months to September, recording annual house price growth of nearly 10 per cent.
Over the past five years, Noosa’s median house price has jumped by more than 40 per cent.
Tom Offermann Real Estate principal Tom Offermann said the company ended 2017 with eight sales averaging $5.9 million each.
The agency sold a sprawling waterfront home with a drive-through boatshed, two jetties and a boat ramp at 29-31 Wyuna Dr, Noosaville, for close to $11.9 million late in 2017 — setting a new record for the area.
“It’s not just the prestige properties that buyers are targeting,” Mr Offermann told The Courier-Mail.
“There are good opportunities for buyers at all levels who want to invest or live here.”
Another driving factor behind demand for the Gold Coast and Sunshine Coast markets is a lack of stock, but BIS Oxford Economics expects rising supply over the next three years to slow forecast price growth.
Another coastal market in Queensland that performed better than expected in 2017 was Cairns.
BIS Oxford Economics noted Cairns had benefited from improved tourism and a deficiency of dwellings, which was estimated to have pushed the median house price up by 20 per cent in the past five years.
It expects home prices to grow another five per cent until 2020.
Originally published: www.goldcoastinvestor.com.au
Slowing Housing Market Sees Capital City Values Fall Below Their Peak
With dwelling values now falling across most capital cities, the topic at weekend BBQs across the country might very well be, what’s next for Australia’s property market?
Corelogic’s latest models show, at least for the short-term, that values are likely to continue trending lower, with the rate of decline easing later this year and into 2020.
National housing market downturns have generally been short-lived. Although, the current downturn of 16 months is now the second longest, with the 2010-12 decline running two months longer than the current downturn.
By next month, assuming the falls continue, Corelogic says this will be the largest downturn in the combined capital city index since 1980.
There is an expectation that interest rates may move lower. This week a report from the Reserve Bank cited shifting interest rates as responsible “more than any other factor”, for weakening house prices and construction rates.
“We probably won’t see the entire rates cuts passed through to mortgage rates and the much tighter credit conditions are likely to limit any rebound in the housing market,” Corelogic said.
“Particularly given borrowers are being assessed on their ability to repay a mortgage at a much higher rate, above 7 per cent.”
Since peaking in July 2017, Sydney’s dwelling values have fallen by 13.2 per cent to February 2019.
Corelogic says this is one of the longest periods of decline.
“With little sign that the falls will abate over the coming months, this current downturn may end up being the deepest and longest in modern times.
“This downturn is also very different to other downturns which have generally been driven by an economic contraction or higher interest rates.
“This downturn is more closely linked to a significant tightening of credit conditions at a time in which the economy continues to grow and interest rates are unchanged – despite some moderate increases for owner occupiers and larger rises for investors.”
From Melbourne’s housing market peak in November 2017 through to the end of last month, dwelling values across the city have dropped by 9.6 per cent.
“Interestingly, comparing the downturn in Melbourne to Sydney, 15 months into Melbourne’s downturn values have fallen 9.6 per cent compared to a decline of 8.2 per cent 15 months into Sydney’s downturn.
“The downturn in Melbourne’s housing market is closing in on its largest downturn of 10 per cent between 1989 and 1992 while the downturn (so far) has been much shorter than the 36 month period in 1989-92.”
Brisbane didn’t experience the great upswing in property prices recorded in Sydney and Melbourne in recent years. And as such, after experiencing moderate growth the data shows Brisbane is recording a moderate decline.
Brisbane’s property values peaked in April 2018, dropping 1 per cent to February 2019.
“To date the fall is moderate however, with housing market weakness entrenched values are expected to move slightly lower or, at best hold firm, over the coming months.”
Following the slowdown in the mining sector, Perth’s housing market has experienced an extended downturn since June 2014 when the market last peaked. Perth’s property values have fallen by 17.8 per cent since then.
“The current downturn has run substantially longer than previous downturns and it is also a much deeper value fall than recorded across previous downturns,” CoreLogic said.
“In late 2017/early 2018 it was looking as if the falls were coming to an end, however, the market has weakened further in line with weaker labour market and economic conditions as well as tighter credit conditions.”
Much like Brisbane, Corelogic says Adelaide’s growth has been moderate over recent years however, with values starting to decline over recent months.
Adelaide’s values peaked in December 2018, recording a fall over the past two months of 0.3 per cent at the end of February 2019.
“While there have been previous periods of value falls in Adelaide, they have tended to be more moderate than those recorded across the other capital cities.
“To-date the decline has been short and moderate and it will be interesting to see over the coming months whether values continue to fall.”
SHAFSTON ESTATE, WHICH INCLUDES ONE OF BRISBANE’S OLDEST HOUSES, IS ON THE MARKET
A large parcel of prestige riverfront land, which includes with one of Brisbane city’s oldest houses, is on the market.
Known as The Shafston Estate, the 1-hectare block at 23 Castlebar Street in Kangaroo Point has been the home of the Shafston College educational facility for more than 20 years.
The site features six freestanding campus buildings totalling about 2675 square metres, one of which is the heritage-listed Shafston House that was entered on the Queensland heritage register in 2005 for its historical, cultural, and aesthetic significance.
The estate was previously on the market in 2013, and property records show that the estate was last sold in 1993 for $1.8 million.
Kangaroo Point is one of Brisbane’s most prestigious suburbs. An $18.48 million sale recorded there in early 2017, for a riverfront home on almost 1200 square metres, made it Brisbane’s most expensive house at the time.
The property is in one of the most prestigious suburbs of Brisbane.
Herron Todd White Brisbane director Gavin Hulcombe said prestige inner-city riverfront property had been in strong demand lately due to its scarcity.
“It is unusual to have a parcel of this size, in this proximity to the city, with river frontage. Riverfront sites have been quite constrained throughout Brisbane,” Mr Hulcombe said.
“There has been a lot of interest generated in riverfront property as evidenced by a couple of recent home-site purchases.
“It is a very popular location. It is unusual to have this size block of land through this pocket, irrespective of being on the river.”
A riverfront property in New Farm, directly opposite Shafston Estate, sold in March for $7.75 million, equalling the Brisbane auction price record.
Shafston College has operated from the site for 20 years.
State government records show that Shafston House, designed by well known 19th century architect Robin Dods, was constructed in several stages between 1851 and 1904 and is an example of the Victorian gothic architecture style that was popular at the time.
According to the heritage register, it is likely the third oldest house in the Brisbane metropolitan area, after Newstead House (1846) and Bulimba House (1849-50) and a rare surviving remnant of a riverine estate of a type typical in the early development of Brisbane.
Marketed by Cushman & Wakefield, expressions of interest close at 4pm on Wednesday 10 April.
Council says ‘imposing’ Nudgee property needs heritage protection
A large bungalow home in Nudgee that Brisbane City Council says it at risk of demolition or removal could be placed under a two-year protective order while its history is investigated.
The property on St Vincents Road has a large 3000-square-metre block of land and a building the council believes could be constructed in 1900.
At Tuesday’s council meeting a request for a temporary local planning instrument that would last for two years was put forward for debate.
The council agreed to write to State Development Minister Cameron Dick requesting the TLPI so they could have more time to investigate the heritage of the property.
A report made to council’s establishment and coordination committee noted the property was “currently at risk of either demolition or removal” and any subdivision of the garden “would have a detrimental impact on the cultural significance of the house” and the gardens.
The building had already seen some upgrades made to it, including a part of the building constructed after 1946, but it was believed the original building could have been constructed in 1900.
City planning committee chair Matthew Bourke said the council did not want to see the house disappear.
“Council needs more time to properly research the history of this site and determine its historical significant, as well as heritage value so it can then be put onto our heritage register,” Cr Bourke said.
“Due to the current zoning and size of the lot, there is the possibility this site may become subject to a multiple dwelling development application.”
Cr Bourke said on face value the building didn’t look like a pre-1940s house, but local councillor Adam Allan (Northgate) had raised the potential for it to be of heritage interest after conversations he had had.
“That’s why we’ve taken this opportunity to protect it, to be able to do the detailed investigation, and then assess on that information,” Cr Bourke said.
Cr Allan said the property was well-known to residents as an “imposing old home” and was originally on farmland.
“This property has remained as a beacon of a bygone era,” he said.
“Any moves to move or demolish the property would not be well-received by the growing local community and would result in the loss of an element of the heritage and history of the area.”
Independent councillor Nicole Johnston (Tennyson) questioned why the council was seeking a TLPI on the Nudgee property when many other requests she had made to protect houses in her ward were rejected.
The move from council to protect the building follows several weeks of discussion about the council’s attempt to ban townhouse and apartment developments on blocks larger than 3000 square metres in low density residential zoned suburbs.
The council is waiting for a final response from the state government on both their request for a permanent ban to be written into its planning legislation, and a temporary ban while the permanent ban is considered.
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